docs/commodities/*.md.
Commodities
Scenario-based forecasts across oil & gas, agriculture and metals. Each commodity shows the group's three scenarios (Base / Severe / Worst for oil, Bear / Base / Bull for ag and metals) with year-end FY price levels. Underlying stack: SARIMAX(1,0,1) + GARCH(1,1) with 95% CI bootstrap and hardcoded scenario targets as a fallback.
Loading commodity forecasts…
Methodology overview
Load a specific commodity's methodology by clicking a card above. Each
forecast documents its data sources, drivers, model choices, and known
caveats. Files live under